Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.029862 0.032134 0.034411 0.036859 0.039415 0.042001 0.044811
2025-10-26 0.026127 0.029772 0.033550 0.037745 0.042256 0.046948 0.052183
2025-11-02 0.023303 0.027759 0.032500 0.037887 0.043806 0.050081 0.057208
2025-11-09 0.021050 0.026066 0.031524 0.037847 0.044917 0.052529 0.061294
2025-11-16 0.019171 0.024602 0.030631 0.037739 0.045808 0.054610 0.064864
2025-11-23 0.017498 0.023233 0.029724 0.037499 0.046449 0.056327 0.067953
2025-11-30 0.016126 0.022115 0.029016 0.037404 0.047180 0.058084 0.071033
2025-12-07 0.014636 0.020758 0.027944 0.036809 0.047271 0.059057 0.073180
2025-12-14 0.013237 0.019427 0.026829 0.036094 0.047160 0.059751 0.074962
2025-12-21 0.011954 0.018165 0.025731 0.035339 0.046950 0.060285 0.076522
2025-12-28 0.011520 0.017956 0.025903 0.036099 0.048521 0.062881 0.080462
2026-01-04 0.010819 0.017359 0.025558 0.036199 0.049279 0.064508 0.083263
2026-01-11 0.010041 0.016665 0.025116 0.036225 0.050020 0.066208 0.086274
2026-01-18 0.009647 0.016479 0.025324 0.037078 0.051795 0.069176 0.090833
2026-01-25 0.008995 0.015896 0.024988 0.037218 0.052675 0.071063 0.094108
2026-02-01 0.008328 0.015251 0.024533 0.037178 0.053310 0.072639 0.097003
2026-02-08 0.007691 0.014606 0.024048 0.037071 0.053840 0.074072 0.099716
2026-02-15 0.007058 0.013928 0.023485 0.036834 0.054184 0.075263 0.102126
2026-02-22 0.006523 0.013362 0.023048 0.036740 0.054691 0.076640 0.104753
2026-03-01 0.005872 0.012572 0.022263 0.036152 0.054542 0.077189 0.106361
2026-03-08 0.005237 0.011762 0.021413 0.035445 0.054211 0.077493 0.107653
2026-03-15 0.004644 0.010975 0.020559 0.034699 0.053804 0.077680 0.108782
2026-03-22 0.004501 0.010933 0.020793 0.035450 0.055359 0.080332 0.112958